BUY Area - 1.4885 (First Target : 1.4977 Next : 1.5066 )
SELL Area - 1.4845 (First Target : 1.4800 Next : 1.4750)
Salam and Hi......... Trading Range is between 1.4700 to 1.5100 area.
At this moment candle is testing 1.5000 area. If fail candle may find back 1.4865 area. From here if fail to break 1.4865 area candle may bounce back to test today high. If success candle may drop deeper at 1.4700 area. Please use Fibonaci retracement to get your target.Also please be alert on all reverse signal and pattern of CS. Set your target between 60 pips and for shure you will get it asap. Until then good luck and happy trading.
Allah Hu...
ps. Dijemput semua bekas student saya ke Majlis Kesyukuran saya pada hari jumaat 8.00 malam. Bawa laptop sekali kita trade sama-sama selepas majlis. Salam.
Showing posts with label money. Show all posts
Showing posts with label money. Show all posts
Monday, May 4, 2009
Tuesday, April 28, 2009
GBP/USD Pair @ 01.30 pm Malaysia
SELL Area - 1.4587 ( My target : 1.4514 Next : 1.4478 Next : 1.4431 May drop deeper at 1.4397 if possible today)
BUY Area - 1.4627 (My target : 1.4692 Next : 1.4750)
Salam and Hi... Trading Range is between 1.4300 to 1.4800 area.
Yesterday my sell area at 1.4647 met and met my second target at 1.4517 and stop at 1.4514. From here the candle rebound and stop at 1.4692. From here CS drop back and enter again my SELL area.
Congratulations who got it but my advice please set your target not my target area, because it is only my predictions. Not to focus on it but if your target is 30 to 60 pips a day, you will achive it asap. Then stop and just do others thing when you got it. I hope you not to greedy and please be more discipline and try to be more alert on all the pattern of the CS.
Let say your target is 60 pips a day and you trade only 10 days in a month, that mean your income is :
60 pips a day x 10 day x $10 = $6000.
It up to you man and the money is yours. You make your own decision for your own good. Dont forget to pray to Allah.
Allah Hu.
BUY Area - 1.4627 (My target : 1.4692 Next : 1.4750)
Salam and Hi... Trading Range is between 1.4300 to 1.4800 area.
Yesterday my sell area at 1.4647 met and met my second target at 1.4517 and stop at 1.4514. From here the candle rebound and stop at 1.4692. From here CS drop back and enter again my SELL area.
Congratulations who got it but my advice please set your target not my target area, because it is only my predictions. Not to focus on it but if your target is 30 to 60 pips a day, you will achive it asap. Then stop and just do others thing when you got it. I hope you not to greedy and please be more discipline and try to be more alert on all the pattern of the CS.
Let say your target is 60 pips a day and you trade only 10 days in a month, that mean your income is :
60 pips a day x 10 day x $10 = $6000.
It up to you man and the money is yours. You make your own decision for your own good. Dont forget to pray to Allah.
Allah Hu.
From Market Oracle... please read !!!
The Impact on Gold
While market attention has been riveted on the price of gold a more important feature of the gold market has caused gold to evolve as money, in increasingly difficult times. The concerns of the Chinese are the concerns of all investors particularly U.S. investors the main buyers of gold shares in the gold Exchange Traded Funds. Consequently, this has broadened the base and improved the quality of gold investors worldwide. While the jewelry trade has retreated from gold and scrap sales have supported the supply of gold, the time is coming when supplies will just not be enough to satisfy investors and scrap sales peter out. The only way such investors will be deterred from buying then is a gold price rising out of their buying zones. This will certainly mean an over four-figure gold price.
The fears of investors are outside the gold market and concern exchange rates, massive tsunamis of dollars and other currencies being printed to shore up the present system in the grips of a credit crunch. Many investors are certain inflation is roaring towards us, to spring up, as deflation is overcome. The future of the monetary system is bleak and extreme.
Locally, gold is priced in home currencies and serves as a hedge against the dramatic moves of those currencies. Rapidly, investors are seeing that their price of gold doesn't reflect only the value of gold, but the value of their local currencies as well. Awareness of gold as a protection against weakening currencies is growing rapidly. This awareness is growing in central banks, sovereign wealth funds, institutions, amongst wealthy individuals and is now spreading to the man in the street. Once sound money backed by assets was forsaken in favor of man managed and created money, the disintegration of the banking system, the credit system and confidence in currencies and economies was inevitable. Only the credibility of and confidence in paper money made it work anyway. That now stands badly mauled with potentially worse to come. But most observers are not buying gold yet! Once they do, sit back and wonder!
As Greenspan wrote decades ago, "Without a gold standard in place, there is little to prevent governments indulging in wild credit creation. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process." We do not believe there will be a Gold Standard because it is anathema to all bankers, central bankers included. What is likely to happen is that a formula will be worked out where gold can be used to increase the credibility of and confidence in paper money again. Before that discussion comes to reality, individuals and institutions are and will turn to gold. When governments contemplate gold's use in money again, you can be sure they will want the metal to themselves and exclude Joe public!
Allah Hu.
While market attention has been riveted on the price of gold a more important feature of the gold market has caused gold to evolve as money, in increasingly difficult times. The concerns of the Chinese are the concerns of all investors particularly U.S. investors the main buyers of gold shares in the gold Exchange Traded Funds. Consequently, this has broadened the base and improved the quality of gold investors worldwide. While the jewelry trade has retreated from gold and scrap sales have supported the supply of gold, the time is coming when supplies will just not be enough to satisfy investors and scrap sales peter out. The only way such investors will be deterred from buying then is a gold price rising out of their buying zones. This will certainly mean an over four-figure gold price.
The fears of investors are outside the gold market and concern exchange rates, massive tsunamis of dollars and other currencies being printed to shore up the present system in the grips of a credit crunch. Many investors are certain inflation is roaring towards us, to spring up, as deflation is overcome. The future of the monetary system is bleak and extreme.
Locally, gold is priced in home currencies and serves as a hedge against the dramatic moves of those currencies. Rapidly, investors are seeing that their price of gold doesn't reflect only the value of gold, but the value of their local currencies as well. Awareness of gold as a protection against weakening currencies is growing rapidly. This awareness is growing in central banks, sovereign wealth funds, institutions, amongst wealthy individuals and is now spreading to the man in the street. Once sound money backed by assets was forsaken in favor of man managed and created money, the disintegration of the banking system, the credit system and confidence in currencies and economies was inevitable. Only the credibility of and confidence in paper money made it work anyway. That now stands badly mauled with potentially worse to come. But most observers are not buying gold yet! Once they do, sit back and wonder!
As Greenspan wrote decades ago, "Without a gold standard in place, there is little to prevent governments indulging in wild credit creation. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process." We do not believe there will be a Gold Standard because it is anathema to all bankers, central bankers included. What is likely to happen is that a formula will be worked out where gold can be used to increase the credibility of and confidence in paper money again. Before that discussion comes to reality, individuals and institutions are and will turn to gold. When governments contemplate gold's use in money again, you can be sure they will want the metal to themselves and exclude Joe public!
Allah Hu.
Saturday, April 25, 2009
From Market oracle.. please read !!!
GOLD REFLECTS USDOLLAR INSTABILITY
The gold cartel is gradually losing control. They can put out a ‘double down’ futures contract short attack. They can reduce gold lease rates to below zero. They can avert a COMEX default at the eleventh hour. The consolidation process continues with a carving of the right side handle to the Cup & Handle reversal pattern in the gold price chart, as patience is surely tested. Support has been good at the more stable 50-week moving average, aided by the May 2008 support, both at the 860-865 level. Today on Thursday, the gold price finally jumped over the 900 mark, and even silver enjoyed a big rise of 3%. Currencies are being ruined universally, as governments debauch their supply fundamentals with what they regard as impunity and zero cost, very mistakenly. The costs come later, from price inflation, lost stability in the monetary foundation itself, and new unforeseen bubbles. The gold price target remains 1250 to 1300 once the 1000 mark is cleared. Watch for the potential of a bullish stochastix crossover in the green oval in the next week, an event that technicians would notice. It would signal a substantial move up soon.
Desperate measures like the EuroCB action (d) and surging COMEX open interest (e) are difficult to repeat and to sustain. Exposure renders great harm to the confidence pillar of the major currencies. The extremely promising bullish factors behind gold are many:
negative real interest rates
shortage of physical gold, whether bars or coins
advent of price inflation next year
Euro Central Bank rescue to avert COMEX default by Deutsche Bank
Surge in Open Interest since mid-March in gold futures contracts
Howard Ruff loves silver due to shortages, to restore the gold/silver ratio.
EXPECT THAT THE GOLD PRICE WILL MAKE NEW HIGHS FAR EARLIER THAN THE USDOLLAR SUFFERS EXCHANGE RATE DECLINES ON ANY BROAD BASIS. The Competing Currency War will keep the US$ propped for a while longer, as other currencies falter. However, the uniform competing currency devaluations serve to give gold (and silver) strength. Behind the scenes, some nations are taking stern action to firm their gold positions before the next crises, like this summer and again this autumn. In particular the Germans have ordered the return of all gold bullion home from US shady custodial supervision, while the Arabs are purchasing every available gold bullion ingot from global warehouses in private sales. They want the IMF gold next.
The gold cartel is gradually losing control. They can put out a ‘double down’ futures contract short attack. They can reduce gold lease rates to below zero. They can avert a COMEX default at the eleventh hour. The consolidation process continues with a carving of the right side handle to the Cup & Handle reversal pattern in the gold price chart, as patience is surely tested. Support has been good at the more stable 50-week moving average, aided by the May 2008 support, both at the 860-865 level. Today on Thursday, the gold price finally jumped over the 900 mark, and even silver enjoyed a big rise of 3%. Currencies are being ruined universally, as governments debauch their supply fundamentals with what they regard as impunity and zero cost, very mistakenly. The costs come later, from price inflation, lost stability in the monetary foundation itself, and new unforeseen bubbles. The gold price target remains 1250 to 1300 once the 1000 mark is cleared. Watch for the potential of a bullish stochastix crossover in the green oval in the next week, an event that technicians would notice. It would signal a substantial move up soon.
Desperate measures like the EuroCB action (d) and surging COMEX open interest (e) are difficult to repeat and to sustain. Exposure renders great harm to the confidence pillar of the major currencies. The extremely promising bullish factors behind gold are many:
negative real interest rates
shortage of physical gold, whether bars or coins
advent of price inflation next year
Euro Central Bank rescue to avert COMEX default by Deutsche Bank
Surge in Open Interest since mid-March in gold futures contracts
Howard Ruff loves silver due to shortages, to restore the gold/silver ratio.
EXPECT THAT THE GOLD PRICE WILL MAKE NEW HIGHS FAR EARLIER THAN THE USDOLLAR SUFFERS EXCHANGE RATE DECLINES ON ANY BROAD BASIS. The Competing Currency War will keep the US$ propped for a while longer, as other currencies falter. However, the uniform competing currency devaluations serve to give gold (and silver) strength. Behind the scenes, some nations are taking stern action to firm their gold positions before the next crises, like this summer and again this autumn. In particular the Germans have ordered the return of all gold bullion home from US shady custodial supervision, while the Arabs are purchasing every available gold bullion ingot from global warehouses in private sales. They want the IMF gold next.
Thursday, April 23, 2009
GBP/USD Pair @ 12.30 pm Malaysia
SELL Area - 1.4500 ( First Target : 1.4395 Next : 1.4243 Possibility to drop at 1.4091 area)
BUY Area - 1.4541 ( First Target : 1.4647 Next : 1.4750 Fail may drop to 1.4500 area)
Salam and Hi..... Trading range is between 1.4200 to 1.4750.
As aspected yesterday candle met my buy and sell area. Sell area met all my target and congratulations who took that opportunity. Buy area met but fail to meet my first target and drop deeper after making a spike as I told yesterday. Please read back yesterday predictions for your learning.
At this moment candle is in consolidations mood from yesterday drop. Initial Resistance is at 1.4708 area. As long as this 1.4708 hold candle may drop deeper at 1.4200 area. Please refer Daily chart and use BB and Fibo to confirm this. Until then let look what will happen today. Good Luck and happy trading.
Allah Hu.
ps.. nah bacalah predictions guru Tadika ini.
kepada student saya. Malam esuk jumaat ada Taklimat mengenai Gold pada jam 9.00 malam. Jika free sila hadirkan diri anda. Kenapa Gold begitu penting - nak tahu sila hadir.
BUY Area - 1.4541 ( First Target : 1.4647 Next : 1.4750 Fail may drop to 1.4500 area)
Salam and Hi..... Trading range is between 1.4200 to 1.4750.
As aspected yesterday candle met my buy and sell area. Sell area met all my target and congratulations who took that opportunity. Buy area met but fail to meet my first target and drop deeper after making a spike as I told yesterday. Please read back yesterday predictions for your learning.
At this moment candle is in consolidations mood from yesterday drop. Initial Resistance is at 1.4708 area. As long as this 1.4708 hold candle may drop deeper at 1.4200 area. Please refer Daily chart and use BB and Fibo to confirm this. Until then let look what will happen today. Good Luck and happy trading.
Allah Hu.
ps.. nah bacalah predictions guru Tadika ini.
kepada student saya. Malam esuk jumaat ada Taklimat mengenai Gold pada jam 9.00 malam. Jika free sila hadirkan diri anda. Kenapa Gold begitu penting - nak tahu sila hadir.
Wednesday, April 22, 2009
GBP/USD @ 08.15 am (Malaysia)
GBP/USD - BUY Area:: 1.4637 (My Target : 1.4750 Next : 1.4845)
SELL Area: 1.4595 (My Target : 1.4571 Next : 1.4526 Next : 1.4477)
Salam and Hi.......... Trading Range is between 1.4450 to 1.4800.
Yesterday as aspected my sell and buy area met and buy area met my second target at 1.4680 and stop at 1.4706.
Now CS is in Consolidations mood from yesterday movement and looks like It may test 100% level of Fibonacci.
Please reffer to H4 chart and i've see a Bullish Continuitions Pattern will be. Anyway new CS on H4 open below middle band of BB but CS open above 61.8% on Fibo and is trying to penetrate it.
Looks like the bullish mood is still here at this moment. Also seen already got big flag at H1, maybe there will be a long spike any time from now. Let see what will happen today and please be more discipline and please set your target.
until then happy trading and salam.
Allah Hu.
ps... nah ambil predictions ini. ini bukan tiru mana-mana yea. Saya buat sendiri. Betul ke tak sila reffer indicator berkaitan. Sedekah kat anak yatim sikit duit tu kalau untung hari ini.
Allah Hu.
SELL Area: 1.4595 (My Target : 1.4571 Next : 1.4526 Next : 1.4477)
Salam and Hi.......... Trading Range is between 1.4450 to 1.4800.
Yesterday as aspected my sell and buy area met and buy area met my second target at 1.4680 and stop at 1.4706.
Now CS is in Consolidations mood from yesterday movement and looks like It may test 100% level of Fibonacci.
Please reffer to H4 chart and i've see a Bullish Continuitions Pattern will be. Anyway new CS on H4 open below middle band of BB but CS open above 61.8% on Fibo and is trying to penetrate it.
Looks like the bullish mood is still here at this moment. Also seen already got big flag at H1, maybe there will be a long spike any time from now. Let see what will happen today and please be more discipline and please set your target.
until then happy trading and salam.
Allah Hu.
ps... nah ambil predictions ini. ini bukan tiru mana-mana yea. Saya buat sendiri. Betul ke tak sila reffer indicator berkaitan. Sedekah kat anak yatim sikit duit tu kalau untung hari ini.
Allah Hu.
Monday, April 20, 2009
From Vahid - Weboma
So what should you do?
1. Start learning first and complete your knowledge. Learn everything that you should know about the trends, patterns, support, resistance, candle sticks, reversal and continuation signals and … . There are a lot of websites that have these information for free. You have to spend at least three months to learn all these things.
2. Decide that if you want to be a swing trader or an intraday trader. As a beginner you should choose one of them because you have to be focused on one thing first.
3. Choose a system (strategy). Your system should be as simple as possible. Complicated systems are not applicable. You can only lose with them. A System should be as easy as 1, 2, 3. Also choose a system that works according to technique and knowledge not according to superstitions. In an e-book I read about a strategy that says you should buy when you see the price has gone up for 80 pips before noon!!!
4. Start trading with the demo account using the system you have chosen. If you see that you don’t like your system or it is not good, change it. Find a better and simpler system. Get stuck to it and test it over and over and over. Spend several months to one year with the demo account. Do not be fooled by some of the forums members who say “I have started working on forex two months ago and now I make 100 pips everyday”. This is not true.
5. Forget that the account you are working with it is a demo account. Consider it as a real account. When you see you are losing, think that it is your REAL money that is burning. And when you see that you are making profit think that it is going to your real bank account. Keep in your mind that if you rush and trade emotionally you lose your money. This will help you to experience your fear and greed before trading with the real account. If you experience them, you will learn to control them. Don’t let them show themselves right when you start trading with your real money.
6. Then start working with a real account BUT trade with a very very small amount of money. I don’t care if you have a $500k account or a $100 account. Start trading with the minimum amount that you can place an order. Keep on working with this amount of money for a few weeks. If you saw that you are trading exactly like when you have been trading with the demo account, increase the amount of the money gradually. Do not play with a huge amount of money after a few successful trades.
7. Don’t give up! Don’t get disappointed when you lose. Everybody loses at the beginning. Even the best traders lose in some of their trades. Learn from your mistakes. Keep in your mind that losing is part of the game. We do not practice to learn not to lose. We practice to learn how to lose small amounts and win big amounts. Your stop loss will be triggered in some cases. This is natural. It should not prevent you from entering to another trade.
If you work in the way I explained above, you will become a professional trader in about one year without losing your money and without having to reload your account.
Happy trading
Vahid
1. Start learning first and complete your knowledge. Learn everything that you should know about the trends, patterns, support, resistance, candle sticks, reversal and continuation signals and … . There are a lot of websites that have these information for free. You have to spend at least three months to learn all these things.
2. Decide that if you want to be a swing trader or an intraday trader. As a beginner you should choose one of them because you have to be focused on one thing first.
3. Choose a system (strategy). Your system should be as simple as possible. Complicated systems are not applicable. You can only lose with them. A System should be as easy as 1, 2, 3. Also choose a system that works according to technique and knowledge not according to superstitions. In an e-book I read about a strategy that says you should buy when you see the price has gone up for 80 pips before noon!!!
4. Start trading with the demo account using the system you have chosen. If you see that you don’t like your system or it is not good, change it. Find a better and simpler system. Get stuck to it and test it over and over and over. Spend several months to one year with the demo account. Do not be fooled by some of the forums members who say “I have started working on forex two months ago and now I make 100 pips everyday”. This is not true.
5. Forget that the account you are working with it is a demo account. Consider it as a real account. When you see you are losing, think that it is your REAL money that is burning. And when you see that you are making profit think that it is going to your real bank account. Keep in your mind that if you rush and trade emotionally you lose your money. This will help you to experience your fear and greed before trading with the real account. If you experience them, you will learn to control them. Don’t let them show themselves right when you start trading with your real money.
6. Then start working with a real account BUT trade with a very very small amount of money. I don’t care if you have a $500k account or a $100 account. Start trading with the minimum amount that you can place an order. Keep on working with this amount of money for a few weeks. If you saw that you are trading exactly like when you have been trading with the demo account, increase the amount of the money gradually. Do not play with a huge amount of money after a few successful trades.
7. Don’t give up! Don’t get disappointed when you lose. Everybody loses at the beginning. Even the best traders lose in some of their trades. Learn from your mistakes. Keep in your mind that losing is part of the game. We do not practice to learn not to lose. We practice to learn how to lose small amounts and win big amounts. Your stop loss will be triggered in some cases. This is natural. It should not prevent you from entering to another trade.
If you work in the way I explained above, you will become a professional trader in about one year without losing your money and without having to reload your account.
Happy trading
Vahid
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
GBP/USD @ 09.45 am (Malaysia)
BUY Area - 1.4911 (My target is 1.4957. Next 1.5050)
SELL Area - 1.4871 (My target is 1.4800. Next 1.4778)
Salam and hi..........
Trading Range is between 1.4600 to 1.5000.
Allah Hu.
SELL Area - 1.4871 (My target is 1.4800. Next 1.4778)
Salam and hi..........
Trading Range is between 1.4600 to 1.5000.
Allah Hu.
Friday, April 10, 2009
From Market oracle.. please read !!!
The USD held gains today as risk-aversion in equities prompted dollar-buying pushing the majors into key S/R at the start of the day. Although the Greenback is higher across the board today volumes were lighter and traders noted quality buying of the majors into the lows. Confirmed sovereign and semi-official names were seen buying EURO and GBP on the dips holding those pairs off their early New York lows.
GBP low prints at 1.4580 was not challenged in New York today and the rate lifted to a two-pip high at 1.4780 before settling back to the 1.4720 area; traders note stops in-range above the 1.4720 area seen as daily resistance and with the rate holding gains from the start of New York traders are expecting further gains overnight despite weakness in equities seen to start the week.
Across the board the USD rally today has failed to extend gains suggesting that despite risk-aversion trade today this firmness is likely a corrective rally rather than the start of a move higher. Although many traders remain bullish USD for the near-term the rallies seem to lack conviction; further strength is likely to be offered and aggressive traders need to see this rally as a selling opportunity. Look for the USD to remain two-way overnight with any strength to be on light volume and holding under resistance. With a light economic calendar ahead the action should be technical for the most part.
GBP/USD Daily
Resistance 3: 1.5040/50, Resistance 2: 1.5000, Resistance 1: 1.4950
Latest New York: 1.4736, Support 1: 1.4650, Support 2: 1.4580, Support 3: 1.4550
Comments
Rate falls through stops layered under the 1.4650 area for lows on support at 1.4580; pullback being bought by large names traders say. Aggressive traders can look to re-set longs on the dip; stops above the market from late shorts around 1.4720 area cleared today. Traders note support is likely firm at the 1.4450 area as expected. Close over 1.4900 argues for further gains but tech resistance is firm ahead of 1.5000. Overhead target of the 1.5000 area likely to trade but expect pressure. Traders feel the 23-year lows will likely remain secure. The shorts may have lost control of the market above the 1.4440 area now and if that is the case a test of the 1.5000 area is almost a done-deal. Traders report stops in-range adding for two-way action.
Data due Wednesday: All times EASTERN (-5 GMT)
5:30am GBP BRC Shop Price Index y/y
GBP low prints at 1.4580 was not challenged in New York today and the rate lifted to a two-pip high at 1.4780 before settling back to the 1.4720 area; traders note stops in-range above the 1.4720 area seen as daily resistance and with the rate holding gains from the start of New York traders are expecting further gains overnight despite weakness in equities seen to start the week.
Across the board the USD rally today has failed to extend gains suggesting that despite risk-aversion trade today this firmness is likely a corrective rally rather than the start of a move higher. Although many traders remain bullish USD for the near-term the rallies seem to lack conviction; further strength is likely to be offered and aggressive traders need to see this rally as a selling opportunity. Look for the USD to remain two-way overnight with any strength to be on light volume and holding under resistance. With a light economic calendar ahead the action should be technical for the most part.
GBP/USD Daily
Resistance 3: 1.5040/50, Resistance 2: 1.5000, Resistance 1: 1.4950
Latest New York: 1.4736, Support 1: 1.4650, Support 2: 1.4580, Support 3: 1.4550
Comments
Rate falls through stops layered under the 1.4650 area for lows on support at 1.4580; pullback being bought by large names traders say. Aggressive traders can look to re-set longs on the dip; stops above the market from late shorts around 1.4720 area cleared today. Traders note support is likely firm at the 1.4450 area as expected. Close over 1.4900 argues for further gains but tech resistance is firm ahead of 1.5000. Overhead target of the 1.5000 area likely to trade but expect pressure. Traders feel the 23-year lows will likely remain secure. The shorts may have lost control of the market above the 1.4440 area now and if that is the case a test of the 1.5000 area is almost a done-deal. Traders report stops in-range adding for two-way action.
Data due Wednesday: All times EASTERN (-5 GMT)
5:30am GBP BRC Shop Price Index y/y
Thursday, April 9, 2009
GBP/USD @ 11.50 am (Malaysia)
Salam and Hi........
Trading Range is between 1.4580 to 1.1.4957.
BUY Area - 1.4705 (My Target : 1.4771 Next : 1.4850)
SELL Area - 1.4665 (My Target : 1.4622 Next : 1.4580 - possibility to break 1.4515)
Allah Hu.
Trading Range is between 1.4580 to 1.1.4957.
BUY Area - 1.4705 (My Target : 1.4771 Next : 1.4850)
SELL Area - 1.4665 (My Target : 1.4622 Next : 1.4580 - possibility to break 1.4515)
Allah Hu.
Sunday, April 5, 2009
GOLD !!! GOLD !!! GOLD ????
Bob Prechter on Silver & Gold
In case you hadn’t noticed: Over the past year of financial turmoil, the “safe haven” premium of precious metals has offered about as much support as a rubber ducky in a tsunami. Despite a string of powerful rallies, silver and gold remain well below their March 2008 peaks.
It goes without saying that the greatest opportunities in precious metals were not had by those who played the “disaster hedge” card; but rather by those who timed the trends as they developed, regardless of the fundamental backdrop.
Bob Prechter is in the latter group. Amidst the buzz and whirl of the most bullish backdrop in precious metals’ recent history, gold and silver prices soared to new, all-time highs and calls for a “New Gold Rush” and “$30 Silver” flooded the mainstream airwaves. Yet Bob alerted subscribers to an approaching top in the March 14, 2008 Elliott Wave Theorist.
“The wave count [in silver] is nearly satisfied, though ideally it should end after one more new high. If this analysis is accurate, and silver does peak and begin a bear market, gold is likely to go down with it.”
In the days that followed, prices in both metals fell off a cliff. In turn, Bob was asked to address his exceptional call for a turn down in a March 19, 2008 Bloomberg interview. Here are of excerpts from that conversation:
Bloomberg: “Why did you put out that call on Friday (March 14) about a peak in precious metals?”
Editor’s Note: You can download Bob Prechter’s 5-page report, Gold & Recessions, free from Elliott Wave International. It features 63 years of historical analysis that reveals how gold, T-notes, and the DJIA have performed in recessions and expansions.
Bob Prechter: “One of the reasons is that it seemed like an absolutely sure thing. We track several indicators of sentiment. One of them is the Daily Sentiment Index (DSI). That reached 98% bulls on a one-day basis going into this last high. We were tracking silver as well… as it is clearest in our minds. Now, at the time, we needed one more slightly new high. That happened Monday morning and silver dropped 15% in 48 hours. That’s a heck of a reversal and I think it’s real.”
“Real” indeed: From their March peaks, gold prices plummeted 34%, alongside a 60% sell-off in silver before hitting the breaks in October. Here, the October 2008 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast prepared for a corrective rebound and wrote:
“Silver traced out a five-wave decline from its March peak…Gold should also rally as silver pushes higher. Once silver’s rise is exhausted (initial target: $15.15), the larger downtrend should resume for both metals.”
A powerful, four-month bounce ensued in both metals: Gold prices came within kissing distance of its March peak before turning down on February 20; silver followed suit — a fulfillment of this bearish, near-term insight presented in the February 23 Elliott Wave Theorist:
“Silver has been clear as a bell. Silver is due to turn back down, and gold, which is back at $1000/oz, is likely to follow.”
Since then, it’s been a steady march lower for both metals. Obviously, EWI’s forecasts do not always prove this accurate. Yet in this case the analysis speaks for itself.
For more metals analysis from Bob Prechter, download Gold & Recessions a free 5-page report from Elliott Wave International. It features 63 years of historical analysis that reveals how gold, T-notes, and the DJIA have performed in recessions and expansions.
In case you hadn’t noticed: Over the past year of financial turmoil, the “safe haven” premium of precious metals has offered about as much support as a rubber ducky in a tsunami. Despite a string of powerful rallies, silver and gold remain well below their March 2008 peaks.
It goes without saying that the greatest opportunities in precious metals were not had by those who played the “disaster hedge” card; but rather by those who timed the trends as they developed, regardless of the fundamental backdrop.
Bob Prechter is in the latter group. Amidst the buzz and whirl of the most bullish backdrop in precious metals’ recent history, gold and silver prices soared to new, all-time highs and calls for a “New Gold Rush” and “$30 Silver” flooded the mainstream airwaves. Yet Bob alerted subscribers to an approaching top in the March 14, 2008 Elliott Wave Theorist.
“The wave count [in silver] is nearly satisfied, though ideally it should end after one more new high. If this analysis is accurate, and silver does peak and begin a bear market, gold is likely to go down with it.”
In the days that followed, prices in both metals fell off a cliff. In turn, Bob was asked to address his exceptional call for a turn down in a March 19, 2008 Bloomberg interview. Here are of excerpts from that conversation:
Bloomberg: “Why did you put out that call on Friday (March 14) about a peak in precious metals?”
Editor’s Note: You can download Bob Prechter’s 5-page report, Gold & Recessions, free from Elliott Wave International. It features 63 years of historical analysis that reveals how gold, T-notes, and the DJIA have performed in recessions and expansions.
Bob Prechter: “One of the reasons is that it seemed like an absolutely sure thing. We track several indicators of sentiment. One of them is the Daily Sentiment Index (DSI). That reached 98% bulls on a one-day basis going into this last high. We were tracking silver as well… as it is clearest in our minds. Now, at the time, we needed one more slightly new high. That happened Monday morning and silver dropped 15% in 48 hours. That’s a heck of a reversal and I think it’s real.”
“Real” indeed: From their March peaks, gold prices plummeted 34%, alongside a 60% sell-off in silver before hitting the breaks in October. Here, the October 2008 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast prepared for a corrective rebound and wrote:
“Silver traced out a five-wave decline from its March peak…Gold should also rally as silver pushes higher. Once silver’s rise is exhausted (initial target: $15.15), the larger downtrend should resume for both metals.”
A powerful, four-month bounce ensued in both metals: Gold prices came within kissing distance of its March peak before turning down on February 20; silver followed suit — a fulfillment of this bearish, near-term insight presented in the February 23 Elliott Wave Theorist:
“Silver has been clear as a bell. Silver is due to turn back down, and gold, which is back at $1000/oz, is likely to follow.”
Since then, it’s been a steady march lower for both metals. Obviously, EWI’s forecasts do not always prove this accurate. Yet in this case the analysis speaks for itself.
For more metals analysis from Bob Prechter, download Gold & Recessions a free 5-page report from Elliott Wave International. It features 63 years of historical analysis that reveals how gold, T-notes, and the DJIA have performed in recessions and expansions.
Wednesday, April 1, 2009
Keep On Eye Out For Recovery On GBP/USD
GBP/USD Today @ 07.27 am (Malaysia):
BUY Area - 1.4327 (My target is 1.4385 Second Target : 1.4450 Third Target : 1.4550)
SELL Area - 1.4283 ( My target is 1.4248. Next : 1.4175 Next 1.4050)
Salam and Hi........
Yesterday my buy area at 1.4243 met and met my target at 1.4336 and stop at 1.4376. Congratulations to those who got it at least 60 pips or more.
Today trading range is still between 1.4100 to 1.4779.
Below is some Tips from Kathy Lien site for your reading that I've copy and paste it here. Maybe this statement may help your trading today.
Until then let see together what will happen on GBP/USD today.
Allah Hu.
Keep an Eye Out for a Recovery :
Although the UK economy still faces many risks in 2009, there is hope. Consumer spending has been pretty resilient with November retail sales rising for the first time in 3 months. If the global economy begins to recover, we expect the UK economy to outperform its peers thanks to the Bank of England’s proactiveness. The currency has sold off significantly, providing additional stimulus for the battered economy. Even if there is no full-blown recovery, the UK economy is much further long in their slowdown than the Eurozone. Therefore if we see sharply weaker growth in the Eurozone economy in 2009, expectations for more aggressive ECB interest rate cuts may be all that the British pound needs to recover against the Euro. As for the US dollar, the recovery could come sooner if the quantitative easing forces the greenback lower. When the UK economy begins to recover, so will its currency.
Technical Outlook for the GBP/USD
The British pound experienced a drastic sell-off throughout the year, tumbling to a level not seen since 2002. The pair lost roughly 5,000 pips as the BOE reduced the interest rates far more aggressively than other central banks. Currently, the pair is well below the 200-week and 50-week Simple Moving Average, reflecting in the change of the trend from an upward to a downward bias. Nevertheless, the pair seems to be oversold for the time being, needing a major retracement if it will continue to depreciate further.
The pair still remains in the sell zone that is established using the Bollinger Bands, and until the price closes above the first standard deviation, it could experience a further downtrend. Although the pair is destined to retrace at some point this year, the price still remains within reach of breaking further, establishing a prolonged downward trend. Near term resistance is at 1.5723, the December high. The currency pair could hold above 1.45, but if it breaks that level, the next meaningful support is not until 1.40, which served as support from 2000 to 2001.
BUY Area - 1.4327 (My target is 1.4385 Second Target : 1.4450 Third Target : 1.4550)
SELL Area - 1.4283 ( My target is 1.4248. Next : 1.4175 Next 1.4050)
Salam and Hi........
Yesterday my buy area at 1.4243 met and met my target at 1.4336 and stop at 1.4376. Congratulations to those who got it at least 60 pips or more.
Today trading range is still between 1.4100 to 1.4779.
Below is some Tips from Kathy Lien site for your reading that I've copy and paste it here. Maybe this statement may help your trading today.
Until then let see together what will happen on GBP/USD today.
Allah Hu.
Keep an Eye Out for a Recovery :
Although the UK economy still faces many risks in 2009, there is hope. Consumer spending has been pretty resilient with November retail sales rising for the first time in 3 months. If the global economy begins to recover, we expect the UK economy to outperform its peers thanks to the Bank of England’s proactiveness. The currency has sold off significantly, providing additional stimulus for the battered economy. Even if there is no full-blown recovery, the UK economy is much further long in their slowdown than the Eurozone. Therefore if we see sharply weaker growth in the Eurozone economy in 2009, expectations for more aggressive ECB interest rate cuts may be all that the British pound needs to recover against the Euro. As for the US dollar, the recovery could come sooner if the quantitative easing forces the greenback lower. When the UK economy begins to recover, so will its currency.
Technical Outlook for the GBP/USD
The British pound experienced a drastic sell-off throughout the year, tumbling to a level not seen since 2002. The pair lost roughly 5,000 pips as the BOE reduced the interest rates far more aggressively than other central banks. Currently, the pair is well below the 200-week and 50-week Simple Moving Average, reflecting in the change of the trend from an upward to a downward bias. Nevertheless, the pair seems to be oversold for the time being, needing a major retracement if it will continue to depreciate further.
The pair still remains in the sell zone that is established using the Bollinger Bands, and until the price closes above the first standard deviation, it could experience a further downtrend. Although the pair is destined to retrace at some point this year, the price still remains within reach of breaking further, establishing a prolonged downward trend. Near term resistance is at 1.5723, the December high. The currency pair could hold above 1.45, but if it breaks that level, the next meaningful support is not until 1.40, which served as support from 2000 to 2001.
Monday, March 30, 2009
Why USD On A Tear ?
Why is the U.S. Dollar on a Tear?
Last updated 3/27/2009 9:28 AM EST (GMT -5)
Tags: u.s. dollar, global reserve currency
Kathy Lien
Director of Currency Research, GFTlastchangevolumeLast Updated: 10 min ago
With the rally in the stock market and recent economic data invigorating hope for a U.S. recovery, traders needed a good reason to continue selling dollars. The big story this past week was the possibility of the dollar being replaced by the a global reserve currency but reports that this topic will not be discussed at the upcoming G20 summit has provided some relief. A confluence of factors have driven the U.S. dollar higher today. U.S. economic data was mixed which means that it did not contribute the rally. According to the latest reports, personal spending has slowed, personal income dropped to the lowest level in nearly a year while inflation ticked modestly higher.
There are 5 different reasons why the dollar has staged a sharp rally this morning.
1) Comments from German Finance Minister
Most importantly, the rally in the U.S. dollar began when the German Finance minister issued a critical warning about the negative consequences that fiscal irresponsibility in Europe could have on the Euro. Although the market chose to react to his comment, it was nothing groundbreaking. All countries with a growing budget deficit will struggle to make ends meet and there is no question that the lagging monetary policies of the Eurozone will put a greater strain on the region.
2) ECB Expected to Cut Interest Rate
Secondly, at a time when many countries have reported stronger inflation pressures, incoming data from Germany suggests that inflation in the Eurozone's largest country is still slowing. Weaker economic data and softer inflation pressures could push the European Central Bank to cut interest rates to 1.00 percent next week.
3) Global Reserve Currency Not a Topic at G20
Investors are also relieved that a global reserve currency to replace the dollar would not be discussed at the upcoming G20 summit according to senior Japanese and Russian officials.
4) Japanese Repatriation
The Japanese are buying Yen and selling all of the other major currencies ahead of their March 31st fiscal year end and finally,
5) U.S. Equity Futures Down
U.S. equity futures are down suggesting that the improvement in risk appetite witnessed yesterday is fading.
Last updated 3/27/2009 9:28 AM EST (GMT -5)
Tags: u.s. dollar, global reserve currency
Kathy Lien
Director of Currency Research, GFTlastchangevolumeLast Updated: 10 min ago
With the rally in the stock market and recent economic data invigorating hope for a U.S. recovery, traders needed a good reason to continue selling dollars. The big story this past week was the possibility of the dollar being replaced by the a global reserve currency but reports that this topic will not be discussed at the upcoming G20 summit has provided some relief. A confluence of factors have driven the U.S. dollar higher today. U.S. economic data was mixed which means that it did not contribute the rally. According to the latest reports, personal spending has slowed, personal income dropped to the lowest level in nearly a year while inflation ticked modestly higher.
There are 5 different reasons why the dollar has staged a sharp rally this morning.
1) Comments from German Finance Minister
Most importantly, the rally in the U.S. dollar began when the German Finance minister issued a critical warning about the negative consequences that fiscal irresponsibility in Europe could have on the Euro. Although the market chose to react to his comment, it was nothing groundbreaking. All countries with a growing budget deficit will struggle to make ends meet and there is no question that the lagging monetary policies of the Eurozone will put a greater strain on the region.
2) ECB Expected to Cut Interest Rate
Secondly, at a time when many countries have reported stronger inflation pressures, incoming data from Germany suggests that inflation in the Eurozone's largest country is still slowing. Weaker economic data and softer inflation pressures could push the European Central Bank to cut interest rates to 1.00 percent next week.
3) Global Reserve Currency Not a Topic at G20
Investors are also relieved that a global reserve currency to replace the dollar would not be discussed at the upcoming G20 summit according to senior Japanese and Russian officials.
4) Japanese Repatriation
The Japanese are buying Yen and selling all of the other major currencies ahead of their March 31st fiscal year end and finally,
5) U.S. Equity Futures Down
U.S. equity futures are down suggesting that the improvement in risk appetite witnessed yesterday is fading.
Saturday, August 30, 2008
Already Claim Second Payment From Bux.to
Dear moneyads4u,
a Cashout from Bux.to for amount $ 75.00 has requested.and it is awaiting for the processing.
Request made from Ip Address : 60.50.188.122
Thanks,Bux.to
a Cashout from Bux.to for amount $ 75.00 has requested.and it is awaiting for the processing.
Request made from Ip Address : 60.50.188.122
Thanks,Bux.to
Wednesday, August 27, 2008
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Salam ... BISMILLAH HIRR RAHHMAN NIRR RAHHIM Trading Range is between 1.6100 to 1.6500 area. 1. BUY Area : 1.6293 T1 : 1.632...
