Thursday, April 16, 2009

GBP/USD @ 10.45 am (Malaysia)

BUY Area - 1.4971 (First Target : 1.5082 Next : 1.5167)

SELL Area - 1.4931 (First Target : 1.4866)

Salam and Hi........

Today Trading range is between 1.4800 to 1.5300 area.

As aspected yesterday candle broke my second target at 1.5050. Congratulations who took this opportunity and I've heard one of you got more $4000.

Today please see the Daily and weekly chart. Looks like the candle may move further up. Please be alert on all Bullish signal like small and big flag, continuations bullish candle, inverted hammer. So do the Bearish signal like ,abandoned baby, dark cloud, pennant and etc.

Until then let learn something new today and be more discipline and the most important is set your target.

Allah Hu.

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

GBP/USD @ 09.45 am (Malaysia)

BUY Area - 1.4911 (My target is 1.4957. Next 1.5050)

SELL Area - 1.4871 (My target is 1.4800. Next 1.4778)

Salam and hi..........

Trading Range is between 1.4600 to 1.5000.

Allah Hu.

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

GBP/USD @ 08.05 am (Malaysia)

BUY Area : 1.4775 (First target : 1.4870 Next : 1.4952)

SELL Area : 1.4755 (First target : 1.4650)

Salam and Hi..........

Trading Range is between 1.4600 to 1.4945.

If break Resistance at 1.4957, candle may test 1.5100 area. If fail candle may drop back to 1.4775 area. Let see this happen.



Allah Hu.

Monday, April 13, 2009

GBP/USD @ 10.45 am (Malaysia)

BUY Area - 1.4667 (My target: 1.4700 Next : 1.4778)

SELL Area - 1.4625 (My target : 1.4584 Next : 1.4500)

Salam and Hi...

Trading range is between 1.4584 to 1.4778.

At this moment the market is still on consolidations mood from 1.4957 drop. Initial resistance is at 1.4778 and as long as this price holds candle may drop deeper at 1.4400 area. The market is still slow because of the Bank Holiday.

Allah Hu.

Sunday, April 12, 2009

From Bloomberg

Dollar Gains Most in 2 Months on Optimism Worst of Crisis Over
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By Ron Harui and Lukanyo Mnyanda

April 11 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar posted the biggest weekly gain versus the euro in more than two months on optimism the worst of the financial crisis in the U.S. is over.

The Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against the currencies of six of its biggest trading partners, completed the largest weekly advance since November after Wells Fargo & Co.’s profit beat estimates, triggering the steepest one-day gain on record in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Banks Index. The euro dropped the most against the yen since January on concern the European Central Bank will cut its benchmark interest rate to below 1 percent to spur growth.

“Wells Fargo’s results augur well for U.S. banks’ earnings and point to an easing in the financial crisis,” said Masanobu Ishikawa, general manager of foreign exchange at Tokyo Forex & Ueda Harlow Ltd., Japan’s largest currency broker. “The dollar is likely to be bought.”

The dollar climbed 2.3 percent this week to $1.3143 per euro on April 10, the biggest gain since the five days through Jan. 23. It touched $1.3090 yesterday, the strongest level since March 18. The greenback strengthened 1.1 percent to $1.4672 per pound and advanced 0.6 percent to 1,333 South Korean won.

The yen appreciated 2.3 percent to 132.18 per euro, the biggest gain since the week to Jan. 23. It was little changed against the dollar at 100.24 yen from 100.31 on April 3.

Dollar Index

The Dollar Index, which the ICE uses to track the greenback against the euro, yen, pound, Canadian dollar, Swiss franc and Swedish krona, gained 1.9 percent this week to 85.786, the most since the five days through Nov. 21. The ICE was closed yesterday for Easter.

The U.S. currency advanced after Wells Fargo, the second- largest U.S. home lender, said on April 9 that first-quarter net income surged 50 percent because of “strong” revenue from Wachovia Corp., which it acquired last year.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. will release its first-quarter results on April 14. The New York-based company is considering a multibillion dollar share sale to help repay a $10 billion government loan, the Wall Street Journal reported yesterday, citing people familiar with the matter.

U.S. Treasury yields this week climbed to near the highest since the Federal Reserve started buying debt as the economy showed signs of improving and the U.S. sold $59 billion in debt. The 10-year yield rose three basis points, or 0.03 percentage point, to 2.93 percent, according to Bloomberg data.

Rate Cut

The euro touched a three-week low against the dollar yesterday on concern the ECB will lower its benchmark rate for a fourth time this year at its meeting next month.

ECB council member Nout Wellink said the central bank can make additional cuts to its 1.25 percent rate and is considering other measures to spur lending and boost the economy.

“There is some room for lowering the interest rate,” Wellink, who also heads the Dutch central bank, said April 9 in an interview in Leiden, the Netherlands. “There is also room for other measures, on which we will decide soon,” he said, declining to specify what action the bank might take.

Fellow member Ewald Nowotny said cutting the rate below 1 percent was still open for debate and it would be “sensible” for the bank to buy corporate debt as it fights for an economic recovery.

“There seems to be a growing consensus for more rate reductions” from the ECB, said Akifumi Uchida, deputy general manager of the marketing unit in Tokyo at Sumitomo Trust & Banking Co., Japan’s fifth-largest bank. “The euro will probably weaken.”

Room to Lower

Investors raised bets the ECB will lower borrowing costs at its May 7 meeting. The yield on the three-month Euribor interest-rate futures contract for May delivery fell to 1.31 percent on April 9 from 1.39 percent at the end of last week, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The euro may extend its decline to $1.25 after dropping below a March 30 low of $1.3114, Sumitomo Trust’s Uchida said.

The $1.3114 level represents so-called support on a horizontal trend line of a descending triangle, he said. The trend line connects the March 30 low and the April 9 low, based on data compiled by Bloomberg. A descending triangle consists of horizontal and descending trend lines.

‘Buying Opportunity’

Investors should use a decline in the euro as an opportunity to buy the common European currency, according to BNP Paribas SA. The euro may fall to $1.30 over the next week, analysts led by Hans-Guenter Redeker, the London-based global head of currency strategy, wrote in a note yesterday.

“Any such pullback would be viewed a medium-term buying opportunity,” they said.

The yen rose for a fourth day versus the euro yesterday as Asian stocks pared an earlier advance, prompting some investors to reduce their holdings of higher-yielding assets.

The Nikkei 225 Stock Average trimmed its gains to 0.5 percent after earlier rising as much as 1.7 percent. The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index of regional shares gained 0.6 percent following an earlier 1 percent increase.

“The Japanese stock market isn’t reacting as positively as the U.S.’s,” said Ryohei Muramatsu, Tokyo-based manager of Group Treasury Asia at Commerzbank AG, Germany’s second-biggest lender. “The pullback in equities here is leading to some buying of the yen.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Ron Harui in Singapore at rharui@bloomberg.net; Lukanyo Mnyanda in London at lmnyanda@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: April 11, 2009 01:54 EDT

Saturday, April 11, 2009

Statement From fx360 For GBP/USD

BOE MEETING MAY BECOME A NON-EVENT FOR FOREX MARKETS

The pound is well contained in today’s trading showing only a slight move to the upside. It does not appear to just be the holiday weekend that is keeping GBP/USD motionless, as weekly price action has been hesitant to show any clear direction. As a better indication of pound sentiment, a look at EUR/GBP shows that the pair has staged a steady downward drift for most of this week. This situation is a rare find in a week with a BoE decision, among other central bank decisions. It is apparent that yesterday’s meeting presented nothing new for the markets to move on. The BoE only reaffirmed their backing of the quantitative easing program that they initiated last month. It is a real possibility that, judging by this week’s decision, the BoE meeting will become a non-event like the BoJ and even the Fed. It seems that at this point, all has been dispensed in their efforts. For future meetings, any surprise will come from either change in the asset purchases or in the event that the policy shows some signs of success. UK data will be sparse next week, emphasizing the housing market with DCLG House Prices and RICS House Price Balance.

Friday, April 10, 2009

GBP/USD @ 09.45 am (Malaysia)

SELL Area - 1.4643 ( My Target : 1.4584 Next : 1.4550)

BUY Area - 1.4685 ( My Target : 1.4705 Next : 1.4744 Next : 1.4778)

Salam and Hi....

Today is a Bank Holiday in most country in Europe. That mean no so much trading activity today. So better sit down and study back what you have learn from me before. Anyway trading range today is between 1.4580 to 1.4957 and maybe monday morning more activity will happen. If the initial resistance hold at 1.4778 candle possibility may drop to 1.4290 area Next Week. Until then Good Luck.

Allah Hu.

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