From Market oracle.. please read !!!

The USD held gains today as risk-aversion in equities prompted dollar-buying pushing the majors into key S/R at the start of the day. Although the Greenback is higher across the board today volumes were lighter and traders noted quality buying of the majors into the lows. Confirmed sovereign and semi-official names were seen buying EURO and GBP on the dips holding those pairs off their early New York lows.

GBP low prints at 1.4580 was not challenged in New York today and the rate lifted to a two-pip high at 1.4780 before settling back to the 1.4720 area; traders note stops in-range above the 1.4720 area seen as daily resistance and with the rate holding gains from the start of New York traders are expecting further gains overnight despite weakness in equities seen to start the week.

Across the board the USD rally today has failed to extend gains suggesting that despite risk-aversion trade today this firmness is likely a corrective rally rather than the start of a move higher. Although many traders remain bullish USD for the near-term the rallies seem to lack conviction; further strength is likely to be offered and aggressive traders need to see this rally as a selling opportunity. Look for the USD to remain two-way overnight with any strength to be on light volume and holding under resistance. With a light economic calendar ahead the action should be technical for the most part.

GBP/USD Daily

Resistance 3: 1.5040/50, Resistance 2: 1.5000, Resistance 1: 1.4950

Latest New York: 1.4736, Support 1: 1.4650, Support 2: 1.4580, Support 3: 1.4550

Comments

Rate falls through stops layered under the 1.4650 area for lows on support at 1.4580; pullback being bought by large names traders say. Aggressive traders can look to re-set longs on the dip; stops above the market from late shorts around 1.4720 area cleared today. Traders note support is likely firm at the 1.4450 area as expected. Close over 1.4900 argues for further gains but tech resistance is firm ahead of 1.5000. Overhead target of the 1.5000 area likely to trade but expect pressure. Traders feel the 23-year lows will likely remain secure. The shorts may have lost control of the market above the 1.4440 area now and if that is the case a test of the 1.5000 area is almost a done-deal. Traders report stops in-range adding for two-way action.

Data due Wednesday: All times EASTERN (-5 GMT)

5:30am GBP BRC Shop Price Index y/y

GBP/USD @ 11.50 am (Malaysia)

Salam and Hi........

Trading Range is between 1.4580 to 1.1.4957.

BUY Area - 1.4705 (My Target : 1.4771 Next : 1.4850)

SELL Area - 1.4665 (My Target : 1.4622 Next : 1.4580 - possibility to break 1.4515)

Allah Hu.

Ambilah Batang I Kita Ambil Bukit Aje !!!

Listen, can you hear it?

Yes, it is the sound of printing presses going 24/7 around the world.

Can there be any doubt where we are heading with all of these ‘dollars' being printed?

Inflation or hyperinflation is within sight but it will probably take a few more years to get there.

And then what? You better ‘hope' you are correctly positioned to benefit from this investment scenario. There are several ways this may play out, but we believe it will ultimately be a game with the global currencies in a race for the bottom.

Two currencies which are surely destined to rise in value in the coming years in this environment (at least relative to other currencies) are the Canadian Dollar and the Australian Dollar, both currencies of countries with substantial natural resources.

Seems like only yesterday when the Canadian dollar was below 65 then went parabolic to 110 in May 2008 and now looks to have found a bottom in the 77 – 78 range and is current around 80. A quick look at the performance of the Australian dollar shows a high in July 2008, hitting a low of around 60 and currently looking short term overbought at the 72 level.

In the case of Canadian junior mining shares owned by U.S. investors this means that due to currency pricing alone you have lost about 30% in the value of your investments from the currency peak in May 2008. And you thought you were not playing the currency markets? Guess again.

There is a positive spin to this story because we believe both the Canadian dollar and Australian dollar will be big performers in the coming months and years due to the strong resource base of each of these countries.

Not only with investors recoup the loss in current draw downs in their investment portfolios but they will recoup their investments faster as the natural resource sector/commodity sector catches fire again and the Canadian and Australian dollars rise strongly.

Particularly for U.S. investors, we suggest a substantial position in gold/silver bullion, selected junior mining shares and perhaps, long-term warrants on some of your favorite mining companies to weather this financial storm and benefit there from.

For those readers interested in learning more about warrants we encourage you to visit our website .

Dudley Pierce Baker
Guadalajara/Ajijic, México
Email: info@preciousmetalswarrants.com
Website: PreciousMetalsWarrants

GBP/USD Pair @ 11.30 am (Malaysia)

SELL Area - 1.4675 ( Target 1 : 1.4580 Traget 2 : 1.4501)


BUY Area - 1.4717 ( Target 1 : 1.4812 Target 2 : 1.4891)


Salam and Hi.....Trading range is between 1.4100 to 1.4957.

Allah Hu.

GBP/USD Pair @ 7.30 am (Malaysia)

SELL Area - 1.4771 (First Target : 1.4622 Next : 1.4550)

BUY Area - 1.4799 (First Target : 1.4912)

Allah Hu.

GBP/USD Pair @ 9.30 am (Malaysia)

Salam and Hi Malaysia..

Please open your weekly chart and please read my predictions on Friday 3rd April, 2009. You may use that predictions and at this moment candle is trying to reached the upper band of BB. That mean at this moment just open M5 chart and use RSI to enter the market. Low To Buy and it all on Fundamental now, people are selling dollar and buying GBP. Let see wether candle may reach upper band of the BB or not.

The target is 1.4985 and next is 1.5000 area and hopping to break resistance at 1.5372 area (8th. January, 2009) in few days. Until then let see this happen and I'm still on buy positions from Friday and put my TP at 1.4985.

Good Luck Everybody.

Allah Hu.

GOLD !!! GOLD !!! GOLD ????

Bob Prechter on Silver & Gold

In case you hadn’t noticed: Over the past year of financial turmoil, the “safe haven” premium of precious metals has offered about as much support as a rubber ducky in a tsunami. Despite a string of powerful rallies, silver and gold remain well below their March 2008 peaks.


It goes without saying that the greatest opportunities in precious metals were not had by those who played the “disaster hedge” card; but rather by those who timed the trends as they developed, regardless of the fundamental backdrop.

Bob Prechter is in the latter group. Amidst the buzz and whirl of the most bullish backdrop in precious metals’ recent history, gold and silver prices soared to new, all-time highs and calls for a “New Gold Rush” and “$30 Silver” flooded the mainstream airwaves. Yet Bob alerted subscribers to an approaching top in the March 14, 2008 Elliott Wave Theorist.

“The wave count [in silver] is nearly satisfied, though ideally it should end after one more new high. If this analysis is accurate, and silver does peak and begin a bear market, gold is likely to go down with it.”

In the days that followed, prices in both metals fell off a cliff. In turn, Bob was asked to address his exceptional call for a turn down in a March 19, 2008 Bloomberg interview. Here are of excerpts from that conversation:

Bloomberg: “Why did you put out that call on Friday (March 14) about a peak in precious metals?”

Editor’s Note: You can download Bob Prechter’s 5-page report, Gold & Recessions, free from Elliott Wave International. It features 63 years of historical analysis that reveals how gold, T-notes, and the DJIA have performed in recessions and expansions.

Bob Prechter: “One of the reasons is that it seemed like an absolutely sure thing. We track several indicators of sentiment. One of them is the Daily Sentiment Index (DSI). That reached 98% bulls on a one-day basis going into this last high. We were tracking silver as well… as it is clearest in our minds. Now, at the time, we needed one more slightly new high. That happened Monday morning and silver dropped 15% in 48 hours. That’s a heck of a reversal and I think it’s real.”

“Real” indeed: From their March peaks, gold prices plummeted 34%, alongside a 60% sell-off in silver before hitting the breaks in October. Here, the October 2008 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast prepared for a corrective rebound and wrote:

“Silver traced out a five-wave decline from its March peak…Gold should also rally as silver pushes higher. Once silver’s rise is exhausted (initial target: $15.15), the larger downtrend should resume for both metals.”

A powerful, four-month bounce ensued in both metals: Gold prices came within kissing distance of its March peak before turning down on February 20; silver followed suit — a fulfillment of this bearish, near-term insight presented in the February 23 Elliott Wave Theorist:

“Silver has been clear as a bell. Silver is due to turn back down, and gold, which is back at $1000/oz, is likely to follow.”

Since then, it’s been a steady march lower for both metals. Obviously, EWI’s forecasts do not always prove this accurate. Yet in this case the analysis speaks for itself.

For more metals analysis from Bob Prechter, download Gold & Recessions a free 5-page report from Elliott Wave International. It features 63 years of historical analysis that reveals how gold, T-notes, and the DJIA have performed in recessions and expansions.